Lib dems are even bigger spunkbubbles than the Tories.
Johnson will now pick up Brexit Party voters, Labour is in disarray, Lib Dems not got enough of a base.
Johnson calls a GE and he will get a majority to govern for the next 5 years.
What happens with Brexit is not important for him - Boris has now got power, he will make sure that he keeps hold of it.
Still don't see an election happening before Brexit. May tried it and nearly got done. Boris won't take the risk. Simply an election would cause unneccesary chaos when governemnt needs to be focussing on the proposition of a no-deal brexit. The fact he's put it back on the table will have the EU's new president having to re-think its strategy as a no-deal leaves them in a more vulnerable position than the UK
, as the UK businesses and government have been preparing for the prospect of a no-deal exit. Another little recession will be inconsequential. We've had 3 of them since the '90's and lived in austerity for the last 10 years, all whilst we've been in the EU, so what difference will another make? House prices drop a little, small businesses begin to profit, bigger companies begin to struggle, new car sales drop a bit. Been there seen it survived it. It's time to buy shares in McDonalds as they always do well in a recession.
I’ve read some funny stuff recently but this is the king of the crop.
On the one hand The U.K. - begins from a starting point of a predicted 5% loss to GDP (government backed studies) in the event of No Deal and facing years of hammering out new agreements virtually from scratch which must be acceptable to all EU members. Then needs to make agreements with dozens of NonEU nations and trading bodies across the world, which will never give the smaller U.K. economy more favorable terms than the superpower size EU economy.
On the other hand The EU - already trading with the entire world and has vast and current experience of making beneficial trade agreements with all kinds of diverse governments throughout the world. Something which our inexperienced government sorely lacks. Will, in the event of No Deal Brexit, need to renegotiate at a future date with a SINGLE COUNTRY, rather than dozens and does not need to worry about managing the daily infrastructure concerns, health, education, security concerns, not to mention agriculture, food etc etc of an entire nation for which it is solely responsible while it does so. Oh, did I forget to mention simultaneously handling the rising anger, independence movements in Scotland and N.Ireland?
But the EU is “more vulnerable” than the U.K.? Okay, okay. Sure.
The UK is the second largest financial contributor to the EU coffers, which gives it a strong economical position. It contributes more than the 13 smallest member nations combined.
The EU relys on the substantial economic contribution from the UK are you telling me they are not going to miss that? Germany alone relys on 40% of its exporting trade to the UK. The UK leaving with a no-deal is like Sky pulling out of its TV deal with the Premier League. It will leave the EU with a massive funding void that they will not be able to recover from its other member states. Thats's why they were so keen to ensure May took no-deal off the table.
A no-deal Brexit isn't good for anyone but looking at the current European conditions the UK is in a better position to recover than the remaining 27 member states. I also think you've underestimated the capability of the British government to negotiate trading deals with other countries. The EU in its current form is not the trade agreement which the UK signed up for in 1973. The terms of the agreement negotiated between the UK and the EEC pre-1992 was a workable situation. The Brexit agreement should be looking to re-set to that deal. It was when the EEC wanted to implement the ERM and the single European currency that things started to go wrong, and expanding to 28 members.
Had scotland voted to leave the Union in 2016, they would have voted themselves out the EU. They then as an independant nation would have to apply for membership, something they still have to do if they leave the Union after Brexit happens, Currently, they do not have an economy that passes the EU criteria for membership.