Nos89 wrote: ↑Thu Jul 25, 2019 11:12 pm
Gunner Rob wrote: ↑Thu Jul 25, 2019 9:32 am
Herd wrote: ↑Thu Jul 25, 2019 7:32 am
Lib dems are even bigger spunkbubbles than the Tories.
Johnson will now pick up Brexit Party voters, Labour is in disarray, Lib Dems not got enough of a base.
Johnson calls a GE and he will get a majority to govern for the next 5 years.
What happens with Brexit is not important for him - Boris has now got power, he will make sure that he keeps hold of it.
Still don't see an election happening before Brexit. May tried it and nearly got done. Boris won't take the risk. Simply an election would cause unneccesary chaos when governemnt needs to be focussing on the proposition of a no-deal brexit. The fact he's put it back on the
table will have the EU's new president having to re-think its strategy as a no-deal leaves them in a more vulnerable position than the UK, as the UK businesses and government have been preparing for the prospect of a no-deal exit. Another little recession will be inconsequential. We've had 3 of them since the '90's and lived in austerity for the last 10 years, all whilst we've been in the EU, so what difference will another make? House prices drop a little, small businesses begin to profit, bigger companies begin to struggle, new car sales drop a bit. Been there seen it survived it. It's time to buy shares in McDonalds as they always do well in a recession.
I’ve read some funny stuff recently but this is the king of the crop.
On the one hand The U.K. - begins from a starting point of a predicted 5% loss to GDP (government backed studies) in the event of No Deal and facing years of hammering out new agreements virtually from scratch which must be acceptable to all EU members. Then needs to make agreements with dozens of NonEU nations and trading bodies across the world, which will never give the smaller U.K. economy more favorable terms than the superpower size EU economy.
On the other hand The EU - already trading with the entire world and has vast and current experience of making beneficial trade agreements with all kinds of diverse governments throughout the world. Something which our inexperienced government sorely lacks. Will, in the event of No Deal Brexit, need to renegotiate at a future date with a SINGLE COUNTRY, rather than dozens and does not need to worry about managing the daily infrastructure concerns, health, education, security concerns, not to mention agriculture, food etc etc of an entire nation for which it is solely responsible while it does so. Oh, did I forget to mention simultaneously handling the rising anger, independence movements in Scotland and N.Ireland?
But the EU is “more vulnerable” than the U.K.? Okay, okay. Sure.